Conditional Probability of Occurrence for Variations in Climate Based on Widths of Annual Tree Rings in Arizona

Persistent Link:
http://hdl.handle.net/10150/302707
Title:
Conditional Probability of Occurrence for Variations in Climate Based on Widths of Annual Tree Rings in Arizona
Author:
Stockton, Charles W.; Fritts, Harold C.
Affiliation:
Laboratory of Tree-Ring Research, University of Arizona; Laboratory of Tree-Ring Research, University of Arizona
Publisher:
Laboratory of Tree-Ring Research, University of Arizona (Tucson, AZ)
Issue Date:
10-Jan-1968
Description:
Annual Report / Grant Number E-88-67(G) / Environmental Science Services Administration / January 10, 1968
URI:
http://hdl.handle.net/10150/302707
Abstract:
Modern statistical innovations have been incorporated into several recent analyses of tree -ring growth as related to climate. For example, Fritts (1962) used stepwise multiple regression techniques to study the systematic relationship of ring widths to climatic parameters in the southwestern United States; Bryson and Dutton (1962) have utilized power and cross -power spectral analyses in analyzing tree-ring records for periodicities; Mitchell (1967) applied factorial analysis; and Julian and Fritts (1967) introduced digital filter techniques as a means of appraising the systematic relations of tree growth to climatic variables. None of these studies, however, has attempted to analyze the joint occurrence of specific ring widths with certain climatic types so that probability statements could be made about climate from ring widths. This present study analyzes the joint occurrence of climate and relative width of tree rings for the state of Arizona. Conditional probabilities of occurrence are used to establish quantitative relevance of state -wide tree -ring growth from 1900 through 1957 to recorded climate for 1899 through 1957. The results are then used to make probability estimates of climate for the period 1650 through 1899.
Language:
en_US
Keywords:
Climatology.; Tree-rings.; Arizona -- Climate.
Sponsors:
Grant Number E-88-67(G)

Full metadata record

DC FieldValue Language
dc.contributor.authorStockton, Charles W.en_US
dc.contributor.authorFritts, Harold C.en_US
dc.date.accessioned2013-10-04T01:54:24Z-
dc.date.available2013-10-04T01:54:24Z-
dc.date.issued1968-01-10-
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10150/302707-
dc.descriptionAnnual Report / Grant Number E-88-67(G) / Environmental Science Services Administration / January 10, 1968en_US
dc.description.abstractModern statistical innovations have been incorporated into several recent analyses of tree -ring growth as related to climate. For example, Fritts (1962) used stepwise multiple regression techniques to study the systematic relationship of ring widths to climatic parameters in the southwestern United States; Bryson and Dutton (1962) have utilized power and cross -power spectral analyses in analyzing tree-ring records for periodicities; Mitchell (1967) applied factorial analysis; and Julian and Fritts (1967) introduced digital filter techniques as a means of appraising the systematic relations of tree growth to climatic variables. None of these studies, however, has attempted to analyze the joint occurrence of specific ring widths with certain climatic types so that probability statements could be made about climate from ring widths. This present study analyzes the joint occurrence of climate and relative width of tree rings for the state of Arizona. Conditional probabilities of occurrence are used to establish quantitative relevance of state -wide tree -ring growth from 1900 through 1957 to recorded climate for 1899 through 1957. The results are then used to make probability estimates of climate for the period 1650 through 1899.en_US
dc.description.sponsorshipGrant Number E-88-67(G)en_US
dc.language.isoen_USen_US
dc.publisherLaboratory of Tree-Ring Research, University of Arizona (Tucson, AZ)en_US
dc.rightsCopyright © Arizona Board of Regents. The University of Arizona.en_US
dc.sourceLaboratory of Tree-Ring Research Archives. The University of Arizona.en_US
dc.subjectClimatology.en_US
dc.subjectTree-rings.en_US
dc.subjectArizona -- Climate.en_US
dc.titleConditional Probability of Occurrence for Variations in Climate Based on Widths of Annual Tree Rings in Arizonaen_US
dc.contributor.departmentLaboratory of Tree-Ring Research, University of Arizonaen_US
dc.contributor.departmentLaboratory of Tree-Ring Research, University of Arizonaen_US
dc.description.collectioninformationThis item is part of the Natural History Reports collection. It was digitized from a physical copy provided by the Laboratory of Tree-Ring Research at The University of Arizona. For more information about items in this collection, please contact the Lab's Curator, (520) 621-1608 or see http://ltrr.arizona.edu/collection.en_US
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