Persistent Link:
http://hdl.handle.net/10150/300237
Title:
Objective and Subjective Analysis of Transition Probabilities of Monthly Flow on an Ephemeral Stream
Author:
Dvoranchik, William; Duckstein, Lucien; Kisiel, Chester C.
Affiliation:
Department of Systems and Industrial Engineering, University of Arizona; Department of Hydrology and Water Resources, University of Arizona, Tucson, Arizona
Issue Date:
6-May-1972
Rights:
Copyright ©, where appropriate, is held by the author.
Collection Information:
This article is part of the Hydrology and Water Resources in Arizona and the Southwest collections. Digital access to this material is made possible by the Arizona-Nevada Academy of Science and the University of Arizona Libraries. For more information about items in this collection, contact anashydrology@gmail.com.
Publisher:
Arizona-Nevada Academy of Science
Journal:
Hydrology and Water Resources in Arizona and the Southwest
Abstract:
A critique of statistical properties of monthly flows on an ephemeral stream in Arizona is given. A subjective procedure, justified for managerial purposes not concerned with the variability of flow within the month, is proposed for sequential generation of monthly flow data. Ephemeral flows should be modeled by starting with at least historical daily flows for more meaningful monthly flow models. Stochastic properties of monthly streamflows and state transition probabilities are reviewed with regard to ephemeral streams. A flow chart for a streamflow model geared to digital computers, with a simulation of streamflow subroutine, is developed. Meaningful monthly flow models could serve as a check on alternative models (subjective matrix, lag-one auto regressive, harmonic, bivariate normal, bivariate log-normal models). Rules and guidelines are presented in developing meaningful probability matrices.
Keywords:
Hydrology -- Arizona.; Water resources development -- Arizona.; Hydrology -- Southwestern states.; Water resources development -- Southwestern states.; Analysis; Probability; Monthly; Ephemeral streams; Statistical methods; Watershed management; Stochastic processes; Daily hydrographs; Streamflow forecasting; Model studies; Digital computers; Simulation analysis; Regulation; Arizona; Arid lands
ISSN:
0272-6106

Full metadata record

DC FieldValue Language
dc.language.isoen_USen_US
dc.titleObjective and Subjective Analysis of Transition Probabilities of Monthly Flow on an Ephemeral Streamen_US
dc.contributor.authorDvoranchik, Williamen_US
dc.contributor.authorDuckstein, Lucienen_US
dc.contributor.authorKisiel, Chester C.en_US
dc.contributor.departmentDepartment of Systems and Industrial Engineering, University of Arizonaen_US
dc.contributor.departmentDepartment of Hydrology and Water Resources, University of Arizona, Tucson, Arizonaen_US
dc.date.issued1972-05-06-
dc.rightsCopyright ©, where appropriate, is held by the author.en_US
dc.description.collectioninformationThis article is part of the Hydrology and Water Resources in Arizona and the Southwest collections. Digital access to this material is made possible by the Arizona-Nevada Academy of Science and the University of Arizona Libraries. For more information about items in this collection, contact anashydrology@gmail.com.en_US
dc.publisherArizona-Nevada Academy of Scienceen_US
dc.identifier.journalHydrology and Water Resources in Arizona and the Southwesten_US
dc.description.abstractA critique of statistical properties of monthly flows on an ephemeral stream in Arizona is given. A subjective procedure, justified for managerial purposes not concerned with the variability of flow within the month, is proposed for sequential generation of monthly flow data. Ephemeral flows should be modeled by starting with at least historical daily flows for more meaningful monthly flow models. Stochastic properties of monthly streamflows and state transition probabilities are reviewed with regard to ephemeral streams. A flow chart for a streamflow model geared to digital computers, with a simulation of streamflow subroutine, is developed. Meaningful monthly flow models could serve as a check on alternative models (subjective matrix, lag-one auto regressive, harmonic, bivariate normal, bivariate log-normal models). Rules and guidelines are presented in developing meaningful probability matrices.en_US
dc.subjectHydrology -- Arizona.en_US
dc.subjectWater resources development -- Arizona.en_US
dc.subjectHydrology -- Southwestern states.en_US
dc.subjectWater resources development -- Southwestern states.en_US
dc.subjectAnalysisen_US
dc.subjectProbabilityen_US
dc.subjectMonthlyen_US
dc.subjectEphemeral streamsen_US
dc.subjectStatistical methodsen_US
dc.subjectWatershed managementen_US
dc.subjectStochastic processesen_US
dc.subjectDaily hydrographsen_US
dc.subjectStreamflow forecastingen_US
dc.subjectModel studiesen_US
dc.subjectDigital computersen_US
dc.subjectSimulation analysisen_US
dc.subjectRegulationen_US
dc.subjectArizonaen_US
dc.subjectArid landsen_US
dc.identifier.issn0272-6106-
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10150/300237-
dc.identifier.journalHydrology and Water Resources in Arizona and the Southwesten_US
dc.typetexten_US
dc.typeProceedingsen_US
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